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The government’s win of a long contested dispute over telecom fees could end up a Pyrrhic victory, as the billions of dollars in levies now owed are seen as burdens too big to bear for two of the country’s three main carriers. Vodafone Idea, India’s biggest carrier by user numbers, is widely regarded as most on the ropes, with parent Vodafone Group calling the situation “critical” after the unit was saddled with about $3.9 billion (roughly Rs. 27,900 crores) in fresh payments due.

That is the biggest portion of the $13 billion (roughly Rs. 93,000 crores) incurred by the sector after Supreme Court last month flip cover samsung tab 2 sided with the government in how spectrum usage and licence fees are calculated.

Bharti Airtel, the No. 3 provider which must pay roughly $3 billion (roughly Rs. 21,000 crores) under the ruling, has also flagged distress, saying the decision casts much doubt on “its ability to continue as a going concern.”

To industry executives and analysts alike, there’s only one solution for the sector which was even before the current crisis debt ridden and battered by a brutal price war: significant government financial support.

Hopes have been raised after the government deferred upcoming spectrum payments for the next two financial years until March 2022. Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman also said this month that relief is under consideration although no final call had cover samsung a8 2018 glitter been made.

“If the government does provide some measures, there is still some chance for (Vodafone Idea) to continue as a going concern. It all depends on what kind of relief measures the company will get,” said Umesh Mehta, head of research at Samco Securities.

He said he cover samsung 6 plus expects the company to survive as it is in the government’s interest to have three main players maillot de bain pokemon to ensure sufficient competition in the sector.

Vodafone Idea and Bharti custodia cover samsung s10e Airtel did not respond to requests for comment. custodia samsung galaxy tab custodia cover huawei p20 pro s 8.4 50,000 crores) quarterly loss, the biggest in Indian corporate history, in large part due to provisions for payments owed. Parent Vodafone has cover samsung i9505 also laid cover samsung galaxy j5 sm-j500fn its case on the line: writing down the value of its 44 cover samsung galaxy 3 8 pollici percent stake in the unit to zero la cover surriscalda l’iphone and vowing it will not commit more equity to India.

In addition to the two year moratorium, Vodafone Idea and Bharti Airtel are asking the government for cuts to license fees and taxes, as well cover samsung galazy s7 as waivers for interest and flip cover samsung s3 neo penalties.

Mobile carriers have also petitioned the Supreme Court to review its ruling, although cover samsung s7edge originale lawyers say chances of that happening are view cover samsung note 3 slim.

But even if the government obliges with generous financial waivers, analysts note Vodafone Idea would still be deeply troubled.

Hurt by the price war that began with the 2016 entry into the market of Jio, a unit of deep pocketed Reliance Industries, Vodafone Idea has net debt of $14.2 billion (roughly Rs. 1,00,000 crores), six times its market capitalisation and four times its cash holdings.

While the price war appears to have ended with all three main carriers who serve 90% of the market planning to lift user fees next month, Vodafone Idea has not yet stopped losing subscribers. The latest data, for September, showed a net loss of 2.6 million customers.

“If Vodafone Idea doesn’t have enough customers left, it is going to be very difficult cover samsung s7 moschino for it to remain best cover samsung s8 solvent,” said Vivekanand Subbaraman, an analyst at Ambit Capital.

Bharti Airtel has more debt, with net levels at around $16 billion. Ramachandran, president of Broadband India Forum.

It would also represent a huge setback to India’s push to cover samsung galaxy note 10 plus make government services accessible to hundreds of millions of Indians via the internet.

Any exit would hurt telecom gear makers such as Finland’s Nokia, Sweden’s Ericsson and China’s Huawei Technologies, and ZTE executives said.

Bharti Airtel and Vodafone Idea use equipment and services from all of these vendors, unlike Reliance’s Jio, whose network has been built largely by a unit of South Korea’s Samsung Electronics.

The current turmoil in the sector is also likely to further dampen interest in an auction of 5G airwaves expected before end March. All three firms have warned the base price set by the government is too high given that India’s user fees are among the cheapest in the world.

“Even otherwise, the 5G auction did not look very bright,” said Broadband India Forum’s Ramachandran.

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